China's Tech Stocks Plunge as Investors Question Whether AI Profits Can Justify Elevated Valuations

Bearish (-0.7)Impact: High

Published on October 29, 2026 (3 hours ago) · By VibeTrader

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China's technology stocks are experiencing a significant selloff as investors reassess whether the country's artificial intelligence boom can deliver profits sufficient to justify current valuations [1]. The STAR 50 Index, which tracks 50 of the largest and most liquid companies on Shanghai's technology-focused STAR Market, has plunged over 40% from its July peak amid concerns over returns on AI investments [1]. Even established players like battery giant CATL have faced pressure, falling 37% since the start of the year [1].

The selloff, which began as profit-taking following a strong rally, has evolved into a broader reassessment of whether earnings can support current valuations [1]. Benjamin Cavender of China Market Research Group stated: "I think the sell-off primarily started as a valuation correction and some profit taking, but now there is a critical look happening at whether earnings can justify the AI excitement" [1]. The initial optimism stemmed from DeepSeek's emergence in early 2025, which fueled hopes that domestic Chinese companies could challenge U.S. counterparts in artificial intelligence, but this enthusiasm has since faded [1].

Beyond valuation concerns, broader economic headwinds are compounding the pressure on China's tech sector. China's prolonged property downturn has weakened household confidence, while weak consumption continues to impact the advertising and e-commerce businesses of major internet platforms [1]. Vey-Sern Ling, senior equity advisor at Union Bancaire Privée, warned that rising AI investments could further pressure near-term earnings, with longer-term monetization prospects remaining uncertain [1]. Tai Hui, Asia-Pacific chief market strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management, emphasized that investors want to see how China's tech giants translate their AI spending into actual earnings, noting that several AI initial public offerings attracted strong initial demand before enthusiasm faded [1].

While Chinese tech stock valuations have reached multi-year lows, which should limit further downside, upside catalysts remain elusive [1]. A sustained rebound will hinge on stronger earnings, clearer returns from AI investments, and a recovery in domestic demand [1].

CONCLUSION

China's technology sector faces a critical inflection point as investors demand proof that heavy AI spending can translate into profitable returns, with the STAR 50 Index down over 40% from July peaks [1]. The selloff reflects not only valuation concerns but also broader economic challenges including weak consumer confidence and a prolonged property slump that continue to pressure major tech platforms [1]. Recovery prospects depend on demonstrable earnings growth, clearer AI monetization strategies, and improvement in domestic economic conditions [1].

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Sources: cnbc.com