Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Michele Bullock stated during the Asian trading session on Tuesday that supply shocks are difficult for monetary policy to address, emphasizing the need for policy to manage second-round effects on inflation [1]. Bullock noted that the AI boom is contributing to excess demand in the Australian economy and that the current correction in house prices aligns with previous episodes [1]. She suggested that an unemployment rate between 4.5% and 5.0% would likely ease inflationary pressures [1]. Bullock also observed that neutral rates are rising globally, which is pushing up real bond yields, and that the Australian Dollar (A$) is reflecting commodities and interest differentials [1]. She clarified that she is not signaling any specific policy action, leaving decisions up to the RBA board [1]. Inflation risks are emerging from the Middle East and excess domestic demand [1]. Following Bullock's remarks, the Australian Dollar (AUD) experienced a slight positive reaction, with AUD/USD marginally higher near 0.7122 after recovering early losses [1].
CONCLUSION
RBA Governor Bullock's comments highlighted ongoing inflation risks and the challenges posed by supply shocks, while signaling no immediate policy changes. The Australian Dollar responded positively, reflecting market confidence in the RBA's approach. Investors will continue to monitor inflation and employment data for further policy cues.
