Silver Rebounds Amid US-Iran Ceasefire Uncertainty, Faces Technical Resistance

Neutral (0.1)Impact: Medium

Published on March 25, 2026 (4 hours ago) · By Vibe Trader

Silver (XAG/USD) paused its intraday recovery on Wednesday, consolidating below the daily high as optimism surrounding US-Iran ceasefire efforts faded following Iran's response to a US proposal. At the time of writing, XAG/USD traded around $72.74, up approximately 2% on the day, attempting to recover after dropping to its lowest level since December 2025 near $61 earlier this week [1]. The initial rally in Silver was triggered by reports that the United States had sent Iran a 15-point plan aimed at ending the conflict, which temporarily lifted market sentiment and reduced the geopolitical risk premium in Oil prices. This eased immediate inflation concerns and reduced pressure on global central banks to raise interest rates, supporting the non-yielding metal [1]. However, the positive momentum was short-lived as Iran pushed back against the proposal, with state-linked media Press TV reporting that Tehran would end the conflict strictly on its own terms. Iran's conditions for any agreement include a full stop to attacks and assassinations, guarantees against the war restarting, compensation for war damages, an end to fighting across all regional fronts, and recognition of its control over the Strait of Hormuz [1]. The ongoing uncertainty and lack of a clear resolution continue to support demand for the US Dollar (USD), while elevated Oil prices keep inflation risks alive. This environment is limiting sustained buying in Silver, even as bargain hunting emerges after the recent steep sell-off [1]. Technically, XAG/USD's near-term outlook is neutral to mildly bearish, with prices remaining below the 50-day SMA at $85.51 and the 100-day SMA at $74.33, which is capping immediate upside attempts. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 40 indicates subdued momentum and continued downside pressure, while the Average Directional Index (ADX) in the low 20s signals a weakening trend phase. Immediate support is seen at Tuesday's low near $66.01, followed by Monday's low around $61.01. A break below these levels could expose the 200-day SMA at $57.99, and failure to hold this level may trigger a deeper corrective move. On the upside, a decisive break above the 100-day SMA could ease downside pressure, with the $80 psychological level coming into focus. Sustained gains above the 50-day SMA would signal a return to the prevailing uptrend [1].

CONCLUSION

Silver's price action reflects ongoing geopolitical uncertainty and technical resistance, with the metal rebounding from recent lows but facing limited upside amid unresolved US-Iran tensions. Market sentiment remains cautious, and further gains depend on a clear resolution to the conflict and a break above key technical levels. Investors are watching for decisive moves as Silver consolidates in a neutral to mildly bearish range.

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Silver Rebounds Amid US-Iran Ceasefire Uncertainty, Faces Technical Resistance | Vibetrader