Former leaders of militant groups in Southeast Asia have stated that the ongoing U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran are unlikely to trigger terrorist attacks in Indonesia, citing deep divisions between Sunni and Shiite Muslims as a key deterrent to retaliatory actions by regional terror cells [1]. Sunni radical groups reportedly view Shiite-majority Iran as 'infidel,' which diminishes their motivation to respond to Western military actions against Iran [1].
The article references the 2002 Bali bombings, which killed 202 people, as a historical example of terror attacks in Indonesia, but emphasizes that the current geopolitical context is different due to sectarian divides [1]. A former leader of Jemaah Islamiyah, the group responsible for the Bali attacks, specifically noted that the Iran war is unlikely to provoke similar incidents in Indonesia [1].
Experts interviewed by Nikkei Asia suggest that this sectarian animosity reduces the risk of financial and market instability in Southeast Asia, particularly Indonesia, stemming from potential terror attacks related to the Iran conflict [1]. No financial data, market analysis, or trading advice is provided in the article [1]. The overall sentiment among experts points to a stable outlook for Indonesia regarding terror-related risks from the Iran conflict [1].
CONCLUSION
According to former militant leaders, the Iran conflict is unlikely to lead to terror attacks in Indonesia due to sectarian divisions, which in turn reduces the risk of market instability. The expert consensus suggests a stable outlook for Indonesia, with minimal impact on financial markets from this geopolitical event.