EUR/USD Price Forecast: Eyes nine-day EMA barrier after rebounding from 1.1600

Bearish (-0.3)Impact: Medium

Published on March 6, 2026 (5 hours ago) · By Vibe Trader

The EUR/USD currency pair rebounded from the 1.1600 level and is currently trading around 1.1620 during the Asian hours on Friday, following modest losses in the previous session [1]. Technical analysis indicates a continued bearish bias, as the pair remains within a descending channel pattern and holds below the nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and the flattening 50-day EMA group [1]. The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is around 35, which is below the 50 midline, signaling persistent bearish pressure rather than an oversold condition [1].

On the downside, EUR/USD may test the seven-month low at 1.1468, with further support at the lower boundary of the descending channel near 1.1440 [1]. Resistance levels are identified at the nine-day EMA of 1.1686, the 50-day EMA at 1.1753, and the upper boundary of the descending channel at 1.1790 [1]. A breakout above the descending channel could shift the bias to bullish, potentially targeting the 1.2082 level, which is the highest since June 2021 [1].

The Euro was the strongest against the US Dollar today, showing a 0.10% gain, according to the provided currency heat map [1]. This performance is notable as it contrasts with the ongoing bearish technical setup, suggesting some short-term strength despite the broader downward trend [1].

No forward-looking statements or analyst opinions beyond technical analysis are provided in the source article [1].

CONCLUSION

EUR/USD has rebounded from 1.1600 and is trading around 1.1620, but technical indicators point to a continued bearish bias. Despite this, the Euro showed a 0.10% gain against the US Dollar today. The market remains cautious, with downside targets at 1.1468 and resistance at 1.1686, as traders watch for a potential breakout from the descending channel.

Feel free to email us at team@vibetradingai.com

Was this page helpful?

Related Articles

China dials down growth ambitions with decades-low target. Here's why

China has set its lowest GDP growth target in decades, announcing a 2026 target...

Read more

EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Gains momentum to near 183.00 as uptrend persists above 100-day EMA

The EUR/JPY currency pair traded in positive territory around 182.95 during the...

Read more

US Dollar Index holds losses near 99.00 despite fading rate cut bets

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar against six...

Read more