AUD/USD Dips Below 0.7150 After RBA Hikes Rates to 4.35%, Maintains Bullish Bias

Neutral (0.2)Impact: Medium

Published on May 5, 2026 (4 hours ago) · By Vibe Trader

The Australian Dollar (AUD) weakened against the US Dollar (USD), with the AUD/USD pair declining to near 0.7145 during early European trading hours on Tuesday, following the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) decision to raise its Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 25 basis points to 4.35% from 4.10% at its May monetary policy meeting [1]. This rate hike was widely anticipated by the market [1].

Despite the increase, the RBA Monetary Policy Statement highlighted a significant rise in uncertainty regarding the domestic economic outlook and inflation [1]. RBA Governor Michele Bullock described the current monetary policy stance as 'a bit restrictive,' indicating that the board now has space to monitor developments in the Middle East conflict and domestic economic data before making further moves [1].

From a technical perspective, the AUD/USD pair maintains a constructive near-term bias, trading around the 20-period Bollinger simple moving average, which supports the short-term trend after a recent pullback from weekly highs [1]. The 100-day exponential moving average (EMA) remains well below the current price, reinforcing the broader upswing, while the Relative Strength Index (14) at approximately 54 suggests moderately positive momentum [1]. Key support levels are identified at 0.7110, 0.7060, and 0.6963, while resistance is noted at 0.7230, with a break above this level likely to strengthen the bullish tone [1].

No explicit market reactions or analyst opinions beyond the technical analysis and RBA statements were provided in the article [1].

CONCLUSION

The AUD/USD pair softened following the RBA's expected rate hike to 4.35%, with the central bank signaling a cautious approach amid rising economic uncertainty. Technical indicators suggest a continued bullish bias unless key support levels are breached. Market participants are likely to monitor upcoming domestic and geopolitical developments for further direction.

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